The School of Odds
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 53.72%1.86fair odd
EV -0.077%
Edge -0.041%
Kelly -0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.27%53.81%53.64%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.751.751.8660.61%57.13%57.14%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 46.28%2.16fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.892%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.19%46.36%49.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.022.042.1253.19%49.39%48.90%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 53.72%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 46.28%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.861. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.860, with an expected value of -0.077%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -0.077%E -0.041%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -13.00%E -6.91%K -14.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 08:54
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.23%E -1.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-28 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 08:50
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.30%E -1.83%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.76%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 08:48
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.37%E -2.46%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.37%E -2.46%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 08:45
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.37%E -2.46%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.59%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 08:55
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.91%E -2.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.45%E -3.10%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.45%E -3.10%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 08:51
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:50
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:54
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.99%E -3.42%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.76%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 08:55
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 08:50
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.52%E -3.75%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.76%E -5.00%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 08:54
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.89%E -0.892%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 08:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.06%E -4.08%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.44%E -3.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 08:50
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-27 13:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.76%EV -8.14%E -4.76%K -11.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 08:55
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.67%E -5.10%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -11.36%E -6.88%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.65%EV -11.36%E -6.88%K -17.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.