The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Saitama Seibu Lions v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 57.18%1.75fair odd
EV +0.065%
Edge +0.037%
Kelly +0.087%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.74%56.97%57.58%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.661.671.7562.89%60.09%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 42.82%2.34fair odd
EV -0.658%
Edge -0.283%
Kelly -0.498%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.71%43.03%42.42%45.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.182.192.3248.08%45.86%45.66%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 57.18%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 42.82%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.749. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.750, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.065%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV +0.065%E +0.037%K +0.087%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -9.22%E -4.35%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.65%E -0.960%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -10.93%E -5.26%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 16:50
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.65%E -0.960%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -10.93%E -5.26%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.65%E -0.960%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -10.93%E -5.26%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.65%E -0.960%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -10.93%E -5.26%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 16:50
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.22%E -1.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 13:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.79%E -1.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.08%E -3.26%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 04:44
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.79%E -1.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 04:45
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.79%E -1.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 04:45
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%EV -3.37%E -1.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 04:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.94%E -2.34%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.37%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 04:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.94%E -2.34%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.37%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 04:30
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -0.658%E -0.283%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 04:45
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.51%E -0.658%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 04:39
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -6.22%E -2.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 04:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.65%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.51%E -0.658%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 04:45
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.65%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.23%E -1.43%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 04:45
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.65%E -3.43%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 04:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.80%E -4.17%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.22%E -2.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 04:49
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 04:49
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.80%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 04:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.80%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 04:40
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.80%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 04:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.37%E -4.55%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.94%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 04:45
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.94%E -4.93%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 04:39
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.51%E -5.32%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.80%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 04:49
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.51%E -5.32%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.80%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 04:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.08%E -5.71%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -10.08%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.