The School of Odds
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 45.48%2.20fair odd
EV +0.049%
Edge +0.022%
Kelly +0.041%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%45.50%45.61%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.052.2051.28%48.30%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 54.52%1.83fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%54.50%54.39%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.741.7860.61%57.77%57.47%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 45.48%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 54.52%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.199. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.049%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.049%E +0.022%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.049%E +0.022%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 08:35
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.32%E -0.606%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.23%E -1.03%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 08:40
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.68%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 08:35
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.68%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 08:40
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 08:40
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 08:30
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 08:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 08:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.86%E -4.65%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 08:23
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.04%E -6.08%K -15.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 08:45
William Hill🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 07:20
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 08:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.31%E -4.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 08:45
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 08:40
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:40
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 08:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.86%E -4.65%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 08:40
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.23%E -3.54%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.23%E -3.54%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:35
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.23%E -3.54%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:35
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -7.23%E -3.54%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:35
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.14%E -4.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 08:45
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 22:14
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.49%E -5.72%K -14.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 08:50
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.