The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Saitama Seibu Lions v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 08:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 59.51%1.68fair odd
EV +0.569%
Edge +0.337%
Kelly +0.824%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%59.28%59.46%61.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6966.67%63.19%63.29%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 40.49%2.47fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.492%
Kelly -0.833%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.94%40.72%40.54%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.4446.51%43.00%42.55%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 59.51%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 40.49%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.569%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +0.569%E +0.337%K +0.824%G +0.005%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -12.94%E -6.02%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 15:23
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.41%E -1.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -8.08%E -3.56%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 07:34
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -4.03%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 07:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.01%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 07:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.60%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.01%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 07:45
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -1.20%E -0.492%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 07:45
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 07:40
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 07:25
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 07:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 07:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 07:35
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 07:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 07:54
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 07:30
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 07:34
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.82%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 07:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.25%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 07:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 07:35
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 07:20
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 07:35
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 07:30
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 07:34
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 07:35
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.17%E -4.59%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.89%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 07:54
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 07:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 07:50
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 07:50
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -1.60%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 07:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.55%E -6.28%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.84%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 07:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.55%E -6.28%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -10.92%E -4.96%K -9.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 07:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.02%EV -10.74%E -7.16%K -21.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -12.54%E -5.80%K -10.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 07:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.