The School of Odds

Saitama Seibu Lions v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 58.53%1.71fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.990%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.36%58.62%58.61%59.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.611.6865.36%62.23%62.11%59.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 41.47%2.41fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -0.950%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.38%41.39%43.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.282.3847.62%43.91%43.86%42.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.66%E -0.990%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-07 09:05
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -1.66%E -0.990%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:20
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.25%E -1.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -5.04%E -2.20%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-07 08:59
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 08:45
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-07 09:20
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-07 09:20
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 08:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 08:50
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.42%E -2.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 09:19
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 09:20
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 09:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.17%E -3.19%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 08:45
William Hill1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.31%E -0.551%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 09:09
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 08:45
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.87%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 08:54
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 08:45
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 08:44
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 08:45
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 09:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 08:45
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.76%E -3.58%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 08:50
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 08:50
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.93%E -4.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -1.73%E -0.728%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 08:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.93%E -4.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 09:18
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.52%E -4.76%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 09:15
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 09:15
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 09:20
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 09:15
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.56%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 09:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 08:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 08:55
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.85%E -5.05%K -9.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-07 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.27%E -5.98%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 08:45
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -10.44%E -6.83%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-07 09:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.