The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Saitama Seibu Lions v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 54.26%1.84fair odd
EV -0.700%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -0.843%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%54.25%54.26%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.751.8359.88%57.43%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 45.74%2.19fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.75%45.74%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1252.36%48.90%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 54.26%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 45.74%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -0.700%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -0.700%E -0.382%K -0.843%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -5.32%E -2.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 04:49
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.700%E -0.382%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.64%E -6.62%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:49
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -2.87%E -1.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.41%E -2.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 04:25
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.41%E -1.92%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.87%E -2.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 04:24
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 04:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 04:55
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 04:49
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 04:49
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 04:54
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 04:24
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 04:25
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:54
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:53
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:53
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.04%E -2.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:54
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 04:53
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.58%E -3.21%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 04:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 04:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 03:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 03:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.13%E -3.54%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 03:49
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.67%E -3.88%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.04%E -1.43%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 04:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.21%E -4.22%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 04:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.21%E -4.22%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.78%E -2.81%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 04:45
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.21%E -4.22%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 04:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 04:39
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.75%E -4.56%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 04:24
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.30%E -4.91%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:24
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.30%E -4.91%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 04:39
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.38%E -5.62%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 04:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.38%E -5.62%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.