The School of Odds

Saitama Seibu Lions v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 52.45%1.91fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%52.48%52.39%55.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.691.791.801.8559.17%55.72%55.56%54.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 47.55%2.10fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +3.09%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.25%47.52%47.61%49.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.971.952.1853.76%50.71%51.28%45.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -9.26%E -5.35%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV +3.65%E +1.68%K +3.09%G +0.113%3.7%2026-07-08 08:50
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.53%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 09:15
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.53%E -1.23%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 09:15
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.00%E -1.47%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 09:15
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 03:24
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.91%E -2.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 00:44
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.54%E -2.49%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.91%E -2.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 08:50
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.54%E -2.49%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.91%E -2.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 06:30
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.54%E -2.49%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.91%E -2.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 06:35
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.91%E -2.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 08:45
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.16%E -4.04%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.91%E -2.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 08:50
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.73%E -5.02%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.91%E -2.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 08:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.78%E -5.69%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.91%E -2.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 09:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -5.38%E -2.70%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:14
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.11%E -3.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.38%E -2.70%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 08:55
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 00:15
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.81%E -3.47%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:25
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:25
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:25
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:25
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:25
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 00:40
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 09:14
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 18:33
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 06:30
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.16%E -4.04%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-08 08:50
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-08 00:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-08 00:05
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.73%E -5.02%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.28%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-08 08:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 18:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.73%E -5.02%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.19%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-08 09:15
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.61%E -5.64%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.39%EV -11.35%E -6.72%K -16.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.61%EV -11.56%E -6.22%K -13.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-08 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.