Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 53.22%1.88fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%53.24%53.08%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.771.771.8458.14%56.57%56.50%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 46.78%2.14fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.76%46.92%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.87%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 53.22%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 46.78%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 08:25
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -2.07%E -1.13%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -11.12%E -5.85%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.17%E -1.53%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 08:29
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 08:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 08:54
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 08:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.73%E -2.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 08:35
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.70%E -1.30%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 07:34
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.27%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.77%E -0.841%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 07:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.77%E -0.841%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 07:54
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 08:55
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 08:55
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 08:55
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 08:44
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 23:49
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 08:30
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 08:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:34
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:35
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -5.51%E -2.73%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 08:35
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 08:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 07:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 07:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 07:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 08:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.72%E -5.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.