Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 55.68%1.80fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.32%55.69%55.70%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.7662.50%59.26%59.17%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 44.32%2.26fair odd
EV +0.603%
Edge +0.266%
Kelly +0.475%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%44.31%44.30%46.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.122.122.2750.25%47.08%47.17%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 55.68%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 44.32%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.603%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.46%E -3.84%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV +0.603%E +0.266%K +0.475%G +0.003%3.6%2026-08-29 07:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 06:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 06:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.91%E -6.82%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 07:45
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.83%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -3.83%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 07:35
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -3.83%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -3.83%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 07:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -3.83%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 07:35
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -3.83%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 07:35
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -3.83%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 07:34
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.00%E -1.14%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 07:55
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 07:55
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 07:55
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 07:45
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 14:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 07:54
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 07:55
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 07:55
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 07:55
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 07:55
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 07:36
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 07:45
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 07:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 07:55
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -2.00%E -1.14%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -10.92%E -5.43%K -10.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 07:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -11.36%E -5.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 07:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.24%E -5.67%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -11.36%E -5.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 07:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.43%EV -10.91%E -6.82%K -18.18%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.57%EV -11.81%E -5.93%K -11.93%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 07:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.