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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-05-23 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)

预测 56.64%1.77公平赔率
EV +4.78%
优势 +2.58%
Kelly +5.62%
增长率 +0.269%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
51.82%56.52%56.70%58.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.691.681.8563.29%59.34%59.52%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 43.36%2.31公平赔率
EV +1.90%
优势 +0.809%
Kelly +1.41%
增长率 +0.027%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
41.25%43.48%43.30%48.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.992.152.152.3550.25%46.59%46.51%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)：56.64%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：43.36%。 对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.77。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.85，对应+4.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV +4.78%E +2.58%K +5.62%G +0.269%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -13.71%E -6.89%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 03:29
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.45%E -0.834%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.45%E -0.834%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -10.24%E -4.95%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 04:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.45%E -0.834%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -10.24%E -4.95%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 04:39
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.45%E -0.834%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -10.24%E -4.95%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 04:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.45%E -0.834%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -10.24%E -4.95%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 04:40
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.45%E -0.834%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -10.24%E -4.95%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 04:39
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.45%E -0.834%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -10.24%E -4.95%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 04:39
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.45%E -0.834%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.11%E -5.42%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 04:29
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.02%E -1.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.28%E -6.64%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 04:29
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.15%E -1.84%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.17%E -1.89%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 04:49
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.15%E -1.84%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 04:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.15%E -1.84%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.94%E -4.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 04:50
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.15%E -1.84%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.94%E -4.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 15:18
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.28%E -2.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 04:49
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.28%E -2.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 04:49
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.85%E -2.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 04:49
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.85%E -2.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 04:49
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.266%E -0.116%K -0.205%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 04:49
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.94%E -4.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 04:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.94%E -4.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 04:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.94%E -4.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 04:50
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.94%E -4.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.90%E +0.809%K +1.41%G +0.027%3.2%2026-05-23 04:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.90%E +0.809%K +1.41%G +0.027%3.2%2026-05-23 04:49
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.00%E -0.885%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 04:50
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 04:48
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.94%E -4.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 04:39
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.25%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 04:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.25%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 04:49
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.25%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 04:49
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.25%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 04:49
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.25%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.25%E -5.09%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 04:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -10.51%E -6.65%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.94%E -4.26%K -8.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 04:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。