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Saitama Seibu Lions v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 60.72%1.65fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%60.79%60.87%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.561.6268.03%64.47%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 39.28%2.55fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%39.21%39.13%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.392.402.5044.84%41.92%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 60.72%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 39.28%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 03:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-31 03:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-31 07:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.07%E -2.58%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.93%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.07%E -2.58%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.07%E -2.58%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 08:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.58%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.86%E -3.82%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 08:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.79%E -0.716%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 08:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 05:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.86%E -3.82%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.86%E -3.82%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.86%E -3.82%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.86%E -3.82%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 08:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.86%E -3.82%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 08:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 08:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 08:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 05:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 02:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 08:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.93%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 08:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 08:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 08:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 08:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 08:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 08:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-30 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-30 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-30 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-31 04:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.93%E -5.95%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-31 08:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -9.53%E -6.40%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.65%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-31 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.75%E -7.31%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -1.79%E -0.716%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 08:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -10.75%E -7.31%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -12.40%E -5.56%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-31 08:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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