The School of Odds
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Saitama Seibu Lions v Orix Buffaloes

2026-09-29 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 62.17%1.61fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -5.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%62.19%62.22%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.521.531.5669.93%65.85%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 37.83%2.64fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.784%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.81%37.78%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.6144.44%40.30%40.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 62.17%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 37.83%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.61, with an expected value of -1.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.78%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-28 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.78%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-28 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.02%E -1.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-28 13:50
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.91%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-28 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-28 14:00
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.64%E -2.35%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-28 13:58
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.26%E -0.484%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-28 16:45
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-28 19:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 18:35
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.26%E -2.77%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.67%E -1.85%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 16:45
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.88%E -3.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-28 13:56
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.91%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 16:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.50%E -3.62%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.64%E -0.631%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-28 14:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 16:45
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 16:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 16:44
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 16:14
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-28 13:45
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.75%E -4.50%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-28 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.61%E -5.86%K -18.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-28 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.72%EV -8.61%E -5.86%K -18.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.28%EV -10.34%E -4.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-28 16:43
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -9.23%E -6.32%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.99%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-28 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.14%EV -11.10%E -7.76%K -25.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -14.88%E -6.61%K -11.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-28 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.