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Saitama Seibu Lions v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 51.12%1.96fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%51.22%51.07%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.23%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 48.88%2.05fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.78%48.93%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.04%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 51.12%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 48.88%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -2.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -3.21%E -1.62%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.37%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.59%E -4.59%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 04:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.17%E -2.66%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 07:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 07:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 08:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -2.72%E -1.37%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.43%E -2.94%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.14%E -3.20%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.46%E -3.53%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.46%E -3.53%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.46%E -3.53%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.46%E -3.53%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.46%E -3.53%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 08:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.46%E -3.53%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 08:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.23%E -1.12%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 07:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 07:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.63%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.12%E -3.75%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.69%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%EV -10.54%E -5.76%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.55%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 07:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.55%E -6.03%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 07:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.