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Saitama Seibu Lions v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-07-22 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 51.99%1.92fair odd
EV +0.337%
Edge +0.175%
Kelly +0.363%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.21%52.05%52.06%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.811.9358.82%55.28%55.25%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 48.01%2.08fair odd
EV -0.136%
Edge -0.065%
Kelly -0.126%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.95%47.94%50.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.952.0854.05%51.05%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 51.99%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 48.01%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.337%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.337%E +0.175%K +0.363%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -10.22%E -5.46%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 08:55
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.78%E -1.49%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.22%E -5.46%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.82%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-22 08:50
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.45%EV -4.34%E -2.36%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.55%EV -2.54%E -1.25%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 08:54
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.66%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 08:55
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.38%E -2.96%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 08:55
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -4.94%E -2.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:35
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.90%E -3.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.42%E -2.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:34
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 13:49
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 08:55
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 08:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 08:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.30%E -4.34%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 08:55
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.42%E -3.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.78%E -4.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 08:55
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.46%E -4.19%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.136%E -0.065%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 05:35
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.46%E -4.19%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.06%E -1.01%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -7.46%E -4.19%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -3.50%E -1.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 08:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.02%E -5.15%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.38%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.54%E -5.48%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.58%E -0.769%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 07:05
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.06%E -5.82%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.98%E -1.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 07:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%EV -10.06%E -5.82%K -13.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%EV -9.74%E -5.18%K -11.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.62%E -6.84%K -16.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.18%E -6.04%K -13.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-22 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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