The School of Odds

Saitama Seibu Lions v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

2026-07-22 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 52.08%1.92fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.15%52.03%53.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.801.8858%55%56%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 47.92%2.09fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.24%47.85%47.97%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.952.0353%51%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.08%E -1.11%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 16:55
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%EV -2.60%E -1.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%EV -2.73%E -1.35%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-21 19:30
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.60%E -1.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.40%E -5.56%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 18:54
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.65%E -2.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 14:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 13:50
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 13:50
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 14:09
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 13:50
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 13:48
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 13:50
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 13:50
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.73%E -3.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.61%E -2.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 13:50
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 13:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 13:50
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:00
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:35
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 13:50
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:10
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.85%E -5.06%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 17:34
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -8.85%E -5.06%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -9.44%E -4.99%K -10.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 13:54
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.37%E -5.39%K -12.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%EV -9.89%E -5.72%K -13.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%EV -9.92%E -5.28%K -11.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-21 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.41%E -6.05%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.17%E -2.08%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.