Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 46.68%2.14fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.928%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.92%46.75%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.992.002.1252.91%50.16%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 53.32%1.88fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.964%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%53.08%53.25%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.781.771.9160.24%56.15%56.50%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 46.68%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 53.32%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.84%E -5.68%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.84%E +0.964%K +2.02%G +0.037%4.7%2026-06-28 08:30
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.36%E -0.734%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 08:50
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.89%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 08:39
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.98%E -4.60%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 08:39
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.44%E -4.87%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.44%E -4.87%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 08:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.44%E -4.87%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 08:29
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.44%E -4.87%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.44%E -4.87%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 08:29
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.84%E -5.68%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 08:49
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 08:39
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.04%E -0.490%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 08:50
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 08:29
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 08:49
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.17%E -3.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 08:48
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.97%E -0.940%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.97%E -0.940%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 08:29
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 08:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 08:39
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 08:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 08:48
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.98%E -4.60%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 08:40
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.98%E -4.60%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 08:39
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 08:29
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 08:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.76%E -4.48%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 08:39
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.82%E -5.16%K -12.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-28 08:49
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.36%E -5.50%K -13.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.60%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.36%E -5.50%K -13.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-28 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -11.78%E -6.23%K -13.23%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -11.49%E -6.92%K -17.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-28 08:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.