The School of Odds

Saitama Seibu Lions v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

2026-07-23 09:00 UTC — NPB

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 47.88%2.09fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%47.95%47.80%48.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.961.952.0254%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 52.12%1.92fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%52.05%52.20%52.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.801.8758%55%56%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 15:24
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.10%E -2.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 13:25
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 13:09
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 13:09
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 13:09
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 14:39
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 13:10
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 13:09
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 13:10
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 13:10
William Hill1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.72%E -2.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 13:39
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.68%E -2.88%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.66%E -3.13%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 13:09
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 13:09
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 13:09
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 13:14
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 13:14
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 14:46
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.79%E -5.02%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 13:24
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 13:09
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 13:09
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 13:10
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 14:09
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.31%E -5.35%K -12.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:09
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 47.77%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.23%EV -10.87%E -6.36%K -15.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-22 13:10
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.90%EV -10.95%E -5.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.10%EV -10.87%E -6.36%K -15.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 13:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.