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Saitama Seibu Lions v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 44.79%2.23fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.662%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%44.99%44.81%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.2051.28%47.97%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 55.21%1.81fair odd
EV -0.627%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.783%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.01%55.19%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.721.711.8062.11%58.22%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 44.79%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 55.21%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -0.627%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.25%E -4.32%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.46%E -0.662%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.25%E -4.32%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 08:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -1.90%E -0.869%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-23 08:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-23 08:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-23 08:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-23 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-23 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.14%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-23 08:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.04%E -2.38%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-23 08:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.49%E -2.60%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 08:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 08:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 08:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 08:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.70%E -3.96%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 08:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.70%E -3.96%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-23 08:13 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 08:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 08:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 08:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.83%E -3.28%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.84%E -1.61%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-23 08:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 08:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.18%E -3.99%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.70%E -3.96%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 08:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -8.62%E -4.23%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-23 08:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.52%E -4.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.52%E -4.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 08:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.52%E -4.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.52%E -4.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 08:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.52%E -4.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 08:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.52%E -4.71%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 08:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.627%E -0.348%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.41%E -5.21%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.46%E -5.77%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-23 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -12.21%E -6.23%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -11.12%E -6.90%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-23 08:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-23 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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