The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Saitama Seibu Lions v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 48.16%2.08fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.43%48.00%51.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.952.0554.64%51.63%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 51.84%1.93fair odd
EV +3.16%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +3.19%
Growth +0.101%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.18%51.57%52.00%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.831.841.9958.82%54.52%54.35%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 48.16%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 51.84%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -10.90%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV +3.16%E +1.59%K +3.19%G +0.101%4.3%2026-06-26 07:59
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.991%E -0.519%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 23:40
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.86%E -6.48%K -14.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.991%E -0.519%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-25 14:59
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.55%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-26 08:30
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 08:39
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 08:38
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 08:40
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.27%E -0.618%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-26 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.12%E -2.60%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.12%E -2.60%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 08:50
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.97%E -4.75%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 08:40
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.90%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-25 23:39
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 08:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 08:48
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 08:49
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 08:29
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 08:30
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 08:39
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 08:39
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 08:39
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 08:39
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 08:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 08:49
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.25%E -4.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 08:39
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.28%E -5.31%K -12.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.80%E -5.63%K -13.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.90%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -11.88%E -6.99%K -16.97%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-26 08:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.