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Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 37.96%2.63fair odd
EV +0.600%
Edge +0.227%
Kelly +0.364%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%38.13%37.68%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.422.6543.48%40.75%41.24%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 62.04%1.61fair odd
EV -0.119%
Edge -0.074%
Kelly -0.196%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%61.87%62.32%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.6168.97%65.23%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 37.96%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 62.04%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.600%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.600%E +0.227%K +0.364%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.600%E +0.227%K +0.364%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.30%E -0.499%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.06%E -0.797%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.06%E -0.797%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.32%E -4.19%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -2.44%E -0.948%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -4.46%E -2.90%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.20%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.20%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.05%E -6.93%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.18%E -5.53%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -5.47%E -2.20%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -6.23%E -2.52%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.84%E -2.48%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 08:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.98%E -1.25%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 08:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.98%E -1.25%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 08:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.46%E -2.90%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 23:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.94%E -4.63%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 08:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -9.43%E -6.46%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -0.119%E -0.074%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 08:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 08:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 08:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.03%E -4.23%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.08%E -3.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.79%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.60%E -1.66%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.79%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.79%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.79%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.79%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.79%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.22%E -2.06%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -12.69%E -5.52%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.36%E -0.855%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.