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Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 39.83%2.51fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.618%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%39.93%39.68%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.5545.45%42.45%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 60.17%1.66fair odd
EV -0.726%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%60.07%60.32%63.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.571.571.6568.49%63.85%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 39.83%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 60.17%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +1.58%E +0.618%K +1.02%G +0.016% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -10.35%E -6.95%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 07:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +0.382%E +0.152%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.94%E -3.13%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-26 07:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -0.415%E -0.166%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -11.56%E -7.86%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 07:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.01%E -0.816%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-26 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.01%E -0.816%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-26 07:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.41%E -0.982%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.41%E -0.982%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 07:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.41%E -0.982%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 07:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 07:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -2.80%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -7.34%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 07:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.60%E -1.49%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 08:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 07:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 07:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.40%E -1.83%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 07:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.59%E -2.36%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.34%E -2.73%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 07:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.99%E -2.54%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 07:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 07:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.39%E -2.72%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 07:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -6.79%E -2.90%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -1.93%E -1.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 07:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 07:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 07:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 07:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 07:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 07:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 07:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 08:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.38%E -3.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-26 07:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.726%E -0.440%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 07:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 07:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 08:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 07:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 07:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.37%E -4.61%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 07:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46%EV -10.77%E -4.81%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54%EV -12.16%E -8.33%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-26 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 07:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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