The School of Odds

Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

2026-07-26 08:00 UTC — NPB

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Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)

Prediction 43.01%2.33fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -4.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.01%43.01%43.01%43.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.202.202.2045%45%45%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 56.99%1.75fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -3.25%
Kelly -8.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.99%56.99%56.99%56.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.661.661.661.6660%60%60%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 02:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 02:20
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 02:20
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 02:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 02:20
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 02:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.