La scuola delle quote

Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Inizio: 2026-05-04 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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33 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Saitama Seibu Lions (Casa)

Previsione 43.40%2.30quota equa
EV +2.00%
Vantaggio +0.850%
Kelly +1.48%
Crescita +0.030%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.90%43.21%43.67%44.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.202.202.3548.78%45.37%45.45%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.60%1.77quota equa
EV -0.956%
Vantaggio -0.546%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.12%56.79%56.33%60.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.651.671.7564.10%60.54%59.88%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +2.00%E +0.850%K +1.48%G +0.030%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.71%E -7.51%K -20.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 08:50
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +2.00%E +0.850%K +1.48%G +0.030%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.71%E -7.51%K -20.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 08:50
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +2.00%E +0.850%K +1.48%G +0.030%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.71%E -7.51%K -20.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +2.00%E +0.850%K +1.48%G +0.030%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.71%E -7.51%K -20.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 08:50
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +2.00%E +0.850%K +1.48%G +0.030%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.71%E -7.51%K -20.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 08:50
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +2.00%E +0.850%K +1.48%G +0.030%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.71%E -7.51%K -20.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 08:50
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.173%E -0.075%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 08:50
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.173%E -0.075%K -0.133%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 08:48
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.34%E -1.04%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 08:55
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.34%E -1.04%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.31%E -5.13%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 08:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.52%E -0.874%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-04 08:45
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.65%E -1.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 08:45
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 08:49
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 08:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 08:54
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.88%E -5.51%K -14.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 08:55
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.51%E -2.05%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.45%E -5.90%K -15.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 08:45
William Hill2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.95%E -2.26%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.22%E -1.88%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 08:50
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -5.38%E -2.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -0.956%E -0.546%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-04 08:45
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.38%E -2.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.35%E -2.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 08:45
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.38%E -2.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 08:43
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.22%E -1.88%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 08:45
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.79%E -2.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 08:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.79%E -2.23%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 08:45
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 08:44
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.68%E -3.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.62%E -4.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 08:45
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -8.42%E -3.99%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -4.92%E -2.93%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 08:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.85%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.22%E -1.88%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 08:45
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.85%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.35%E -2.57%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 08:39
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.85%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 08:45
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.85%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 08:44
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.85%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 08:44
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -11.02%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.18%E -4.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 08:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.