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Saitama Seibu Lions v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 41.97%2.38fair odd
EV +2.83%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.055%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.66%41.97%42.06%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.232.202.4548.08%44.83%45.45%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 58.03%1.72fair odd
EV -0.771%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%58.03%57.94%60.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.621.7164.94%61.43%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 41.97%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 58.03%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +2.83%E +1.16%K +1.95%G +0.055% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-24 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +2.83%E +1.16%K +1.95%G +0.055% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-24 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -0.528%E -0.223%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -4.83%E -2.95%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -3.05%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -3.67%E -2.21%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-24 08:47 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.73%E -4.86%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-24 08:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.06%E -6.49%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 08:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.41%E -3.32%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.25%E -2.58%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-24 08:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.25%E -2.58%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-24 08:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.40%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.67%E -2.21%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-24 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 08:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-24 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-24 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-24 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 08:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 08:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-24 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -8.08%E -3.69%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -0.771%E -0.451%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-24 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -0.771%E -0.451%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 21:51 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.48%E -6.07%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-24 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.54%EV -12.70%E -6.11%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.46%EV -10.64%E -6.91%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-24 08:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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