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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 53.18%1.88fair odd
EV -0.026%
Edge -0.014%
Kelly -0.030%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.20%53.20%53.15%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.751.8859.88%56.66%57.14%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 46.82%2.14fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.80%46.85%48.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.012.002.1054.05%49.86%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 53.18%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 46.82%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.8805. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.8800, with an expected value of -0.026%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -0.026%E -0.014%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -5.89%E -2.93%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -2.68%E -1.47%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -10.10%E -5.26%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 07:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 07:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 08:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.29%E -3.68%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.67%E -0.797%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 08:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.61%E -1.25%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 08:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.00%E -4.63%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.00%E -4.63%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.00%E -4.63%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 08:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.35%EV -8.53%E -4.96%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.65%EV -11.51%E -6.09%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-14 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.07%E -5.30%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -13.38%E -7.23%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -10.13%E -5.99%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -1.67%E -0.797%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -11.19%E -6.70%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 23:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.