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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 56.33%1.78fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.28%56.28%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7261.73%59.52%59.70%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 43.67%2.29fair odd
EV +0.444%
Edge +0.193%
Kelly +0.341%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%43.72%43.72%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.3048.78%46.31%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 56.33%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 43.67%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.444%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.444%E +0.193%K +0.341%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 03:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.444%E +0.193%K +0.341%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 03:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.68%E -2.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.18%E -0.972%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 03:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.11%E -1.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 03:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.68%E -2.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 03:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 03:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.37%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 03:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.37%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 03:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.37%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 03:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.37%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 03:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 03:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.68%E -2.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.36%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.80%E -2.20%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 03:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 03:46 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 03:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 03:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 03:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 03:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.06%E -4.28%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 03:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.75%E -5.40%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.11%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 03:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -6.54%E -3.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 03:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.42%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 03:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.75%E -5.40%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 03:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 03:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.