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Saitama Seibu Lions v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saitama Seibu Lions (Local)
Prediction 51.91%1.93fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.04%52.22%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.811.821.9057.80%55.32%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 48.09%2.08fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.96%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.972.0554.05%51.04%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saitama Seibu Lions (Local): 51.91%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 48.09%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.90, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -1.36%E -0.718%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -4.79%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-10 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -1.88%E -0.997%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.19%E -3.73%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.40%E -1.28%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.79%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 08:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.92%E -1.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.92%E -1.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 08:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 08:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.04%E -5.97%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 08:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.15%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 08:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.15%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.15%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.15%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.15%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 08:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.15%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 08:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.67%E -4.00%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 08:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.86%E -1.42%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.15%E -4.27%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 08:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.08%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.79%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 08:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.08%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -5.27%E -2.67%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 08:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.08%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -5.27%E -2.67%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.08%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -5.27%E -2.67%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.08%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -5.27%E -2.67%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.08%E -3.95%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -5.27%E -2.67%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 08:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.76%EV -10.56%E -5.68%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.23%E -3.20%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 08:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.42%E -0.694%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 08:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.83%E -1.91%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 08:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.