The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Orix Buffaloes v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-03 09:03 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 52.24%1.91fair odd
EV -0.218%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.240%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%52.24%52.00%54.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.791.9158.48%55.81%55.87%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 47.76%2.09fair odd
EV -0.663%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.614%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.41%47.76%48.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.981.982.0854.95%50.62%50.51%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 52.24%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 47.76%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.914. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.910, with an expected value of -0.218%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -0.218%E -0.114%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -10.69%E -5.72%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -0.218%E -0.114%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -11.65%E -6.30%K -13.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 08:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.218%E -0.114%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.60%E -6.89%K -15.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 08:50
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -1.79%E -0.950%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.44%E -2.75%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 08:25
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.31%E -1.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.44%E -2.75%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 08:49
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.44%E -2.75%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 08:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 08:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 08:53
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.40%E -2.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 08:35
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.53%E -1.75%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 08:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 08:20
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 08:34
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.97%E -3.31%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.49%E -3.62%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -1.62%E -0.785%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.49%E -3.62%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -1.62%E -0.785%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 08:49
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.01%E -3.94%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.663%E -0.319%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 03:39
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.53%E -4.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 04:28
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.53%E -4.26%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.58%E -4.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.52%EV -8.58%E -4.90%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.48%EV -11.17%E -6.01%K -12.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-03 08:49
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -0.663%E -0.319%K -0.614%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -0.663%E -0.319%K -0.614%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -0.663%E -0.319%K -0.614%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 08:30
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -0.663%E -0.319%K -0.614%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -0.663%E -0.319%K -0.614%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -0.663%E -0.319%K -0.614%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 08:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 04:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 04:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 04:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -10.14%E -5.90%K -14.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%EV -13.08%E -7.19%K -15.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-03 08:33
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.67%E -6.24%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.