The School of Odds
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Orix Buffaloes v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 58.91%1.70fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.36%58.91%58.89%61.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.581.6865.36%62.65%63.29%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 41.09%2.43fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.772%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.77%41.09%41.11%43.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.292.282.4847.85%43.60%43.86%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 58.91%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 41.09%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.91%E +0.772%K +1.29%G +0.025%4.0%2026-08-04 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.37%E -0.572%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 08:30
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.20%E -0.923%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.20%E -0.923%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.20%E -0.923%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 08:04
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.20%E -0.923%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 08:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.20%E -0.923%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 08:05
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.20%E -0.923%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 08:00
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -2.61%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:35
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.43%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 08:35
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.70%E -5.61%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 08:35
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -1.04%E -0.618%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -5.89%E -2.57%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 08:55
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.04%E -0.618%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -6.72%E -2.96%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.13%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:34
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:45
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 08:45
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 08:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 08:40
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.81%E -1.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 08:34
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.16%E -3.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 08:45
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -1.04%E -0.618%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -10.83%E -4.99%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.11%E -5.20%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 42.27%EV -14.11%E -6.75%K -12.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-05 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.