The School of Odds
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Orix Buffaloes v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 56.67%1.76fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%56.74%56.70%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.24%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 43.33%2.31fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%43.26%43.30%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.202.2548.78%46.05%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 56.67%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 43.33%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -2.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.53%E -1.47%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 20:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.09%E -1.81%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.09%E -1.81%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 14:50
William Hill🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.09%E -1.81%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.11%E -2.33%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.23%E -2.50%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.51%E -1.12%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.23%E -2.50%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.54%E -2.54%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 20:55
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 16:04
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.81%E -1.72%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 14:40
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 14:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 14:38
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 14:39
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 14:39
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 14:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 18:00
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 18:04
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.84%E -3.18%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 14:40
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.01%E -4.29%K -8.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 23:04
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.68%E -2.13%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 14:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.18%E -5.45%K -10.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.