Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 59.78%1.67fair odd
EV -0.760%
Edge -0.458%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.44%59.61%59.98%61.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6666.67%63.37%63.49%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 40.22%2.49fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.79%40.39%40.02%42.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.4545.45%43.05%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 59.78%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 40.22%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.66, with an expected value of -0.760%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -0.760%E -0.458%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -9.91%E -4.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 09:20
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.36%E -0.823%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 09:19
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.96%E -1.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-27 09:15
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.15%E -1.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 18:33
William Hill🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 02:49
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 08:29
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 08:29
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 08:30
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 09:19
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.94%E -3.11%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.47%E -0.600%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 09:19
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.94%E -3.11%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.69%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 09:20
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.94%E -3.11%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 09:20
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.54%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 09:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.54%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 09:25
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.54%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 09:20
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.28%E -1.80%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 09:20
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 09:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 09:20
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.51%E -4.23%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.48%E -1.45%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 06:40
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 09:20
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 09:20
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 09:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.49%E -2.34%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 09:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.93%E -5.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.27%E -0.936%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 06:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.93%E -5.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.27%E -0.936%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 06:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.53%E -5.58%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.50%E -3.26%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 06:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -10.32%E -6.88%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-27 09:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -10.32%E -6.88%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.52%E -5.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-27 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.