Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.63
assuming max odds 2.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 59.32%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 40.68%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.330%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-28 06:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-28 06:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.84%E -2.99%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-28 06:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.36%E -0.985%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 06:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.330%E -0.135%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-28 06:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.330%E -0.135%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-28 06:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.18%E -1.34%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-28 04:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.99%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-28 06:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-28 06:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 06:18 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.68%E -3.57%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.68%E -3.57%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 06:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 03:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 02:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 02:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 06:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 06:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.06%E -5.20%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-28 05:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.06%E -5.20%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-28 06:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.84%E -6.47%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 01:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.36%EV -9.84%E -6.47%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.64%EV -13.35%E -6.27%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-28 06:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.