The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Orix Buffaloes v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 46.80%2.14fair odd
EV +0.156%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.137%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%47.07%46.50%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.002.002.1454.64%50.12%50.00%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 53.20%1.88fair odd
EV -0.520%
Edge -0.278%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.93%53.50%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.781.771.8760.24%56.32%56.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 46.80%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 53.20%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.137. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.140, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.156%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV +0.156%E +0.073%K +0.137%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-26 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.780%E -0.368%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.37%E -3.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 08:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.780%E -0.368%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.37%E -3.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 08:29
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.72%E -0.817%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 08:49
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.72%E -0.817%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 08:44
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.72%E -0.817%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.44%E -4.27%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 08:50
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.65%E -1.28%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-26 08:29
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.59%E -1.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 08:29
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 08:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.44%E -4.27%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 08:29
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.44%E -4.27%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 08:23
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.56%E -5.63%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.37%E -3.62%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 08:34
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 08:24
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.44%E -4.27%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-26 08:29
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.97%E -4.61%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-26 08:29
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.03%E -5.28%K -12.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 08:29
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.80%E -3.96%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -4.78%E -2.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 08:54
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.58%E -0.856%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 08:19
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 08:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.90%E -3.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-26 08:34
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.20%E -4.74%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.20%E -4.74%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.20%E -4.74%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 08:49
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.20%E -4.74%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.20%E -4.74%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -9.67%E -5.01%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -10.10%E -5.97%K -14.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-26 08:50
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-26 08:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-26 08:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-26 08:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -11.08%E -5.83%K -12.31%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -11.69%E -7.04%K -17.71%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-26 08:34
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.48%E -6.67%K -14.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.520%E -0.278%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 14:59
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -14.35%E -7.84%K -17.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.