Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 51.20%1.95fair odd
EV +0.362%
Edge +0.184%
Kelly +0.377%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.61%51.09%51.26%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.831.9657.47%54.42%54.64%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 48.80%2.05fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.91%48.74%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.921.9955.56%52.06%51.95%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 51.20%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 48.80%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.362%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV +0.362%E +0.184%K +0.377%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 08:50
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.17%E -0.609%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-06 07:50
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 07:50
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:49
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:50
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 03:10
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:25
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 02:57
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 13:14
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.36%E -2.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 03:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.78%E -3.14%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.78%E -3.14%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 08:50
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -5.78%E -3.14%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 07:10
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 07:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 07:10
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 07:10
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 07:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 13:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 13:14
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 13:14
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 08:05
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-06 08:55
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 18:11
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 18:05
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 18:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -9.37%E -5.29%K -12.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.39%E -5.94%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -10.90%E -6.27%K -14.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -12.17%E -6.76%K -15.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-06 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.