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Orix Buffaloes v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 50.42%1.98fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%50.31%50.53%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.871.9357.14%53.53%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 49.58%2.02fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.69%49.47%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.891.881.9755.87%52.96%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 50.42%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 49.58%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.97, with an expected value of -2.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.40%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-20 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.32%E -1.18%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.20%E -1.67%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 03:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-20 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.26%E -5.06%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 03:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 03:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.21%E -2.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.75%E -5.97%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 02:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.71%E -2.49%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.30%E -2.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 03:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.71%E -2.49%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 03:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.71%E -2.49%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 03:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.71%E -2.49%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 03:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.71%E -2.49%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 03:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.71%E -2.49%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 03:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.80%E -2.50%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 02:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.31%E -1.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 02:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.31%E -1.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 03:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.31%E -1.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 03:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.31%E -1.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-21 03:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 19:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.23%E -3.35%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 03:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 16:18 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 02:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 03:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 02:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 01:47 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-21 02:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-20 19:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.26%E -5.06%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-20 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -9.25%E -5.14%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -8.77%E -4.76%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-21 03:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.56%EV -11.77%E -6.73%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.44%EV -11.24%E -6.28%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-21 03:37 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.