Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes v Saitama Seibu Lions

Kickoff: 2026-06-19 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 51.84%1.93fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%52.04%51.74%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.811.821.8958.48%55.15%54.95%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 48.16%2.08fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%47.96%48.26%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0354.64%51.39%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 51.84%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 48.16%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.89, with an expected value of -2.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.02%E -1.07%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 05:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.02%E -1.07%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 05:10
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.72%E -1.34%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-19 08:50
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -9.94%E -5.32%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 08:10
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.10%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.16%E -2.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.10%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.10%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.10%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 08:40
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.10%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 08:10
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.10%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.10%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.10%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 08:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.10%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 08:10
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.10%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 08:10
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.45%EV -4.62%E -2.51%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.55%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.13%E -2.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.13%E -2.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.65%E -3.11%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 08:50
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 08:50
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 08:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 08:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 08:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 08:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 07:30
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.24%E -4.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 06:28
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.24%E -4.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.78%EV -8.76%E -4.98%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -8.98%E -4.75%K -10.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-19 08:50
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.28%E -5.30%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.28%E -5.30%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 07:30
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.28%E -5.30%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.32%E -5.96%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 02:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.36%E -6.64%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.69%EV -11.36%E -6.64%K -15.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -11.87%E -6.48%K -14.30%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-19 08:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.