Language:English
Orix Buffaloes v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 55.96%1.79fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.44%56.11%55.70%58.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.671.671.7662.89%59.74%59.88%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 44.04%2.27fair odd
EV -0.906%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -0.725%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.41%43.89%44.30%46.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.162.172.2549.50%46.33%46.08%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 55.96%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 44.04%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -0.906%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -1.51%E -0.860%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -1.51%E -0.860%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -11.04%E -5.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.63%E -1.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.99%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.19%E -1.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.31%E -2.52%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.31%E -2.52%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 08:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.31%E -2.52%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.43%E -3.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.99%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.43%E -3.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 08:23 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.55%E -3.92%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.11%E -4.28%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.79%E -0.801%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.67%E -4.65%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.67%E -4.65%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 08:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.79%E -5.39%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.79%E -0.801%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.79%E -5.39%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.79%E -0.801%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.79%E -5.39%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.79%E -0.801%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.79%E -5.39%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.79%E -0.801%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.79%E -5.39%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.79%E -0.801%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -8.79%E -5.39%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.79%E -0.801%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 19:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.79%E -5.39%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 08:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.35%E -5.77%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.906%E -0.403%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.91%E -6.15%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.91%E -6.15%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.91%E -6.15%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 08:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -11.03%E -6.93%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -0.906%E -0.403%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 05:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.