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Orix Buffaloes v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 42.17%2.37fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.505%
Kelly +0.866%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%42.12%42.26%45.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.232.4048.78%44.84%44.84%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 57.83%1.73fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.686%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.78%57.88%57.74%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.621.7564.94%61.29%61.73%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 42.17%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 57.83%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -10.60%E -5.00%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV +1.20%E +0.686%K +1.60%G +0.019% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 03:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -2.27%E -1.34%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.27%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.85%E -1.70%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-19 03:47 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.16%E -0.932%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.05%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-19 03:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.43%E -2.05%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.43%E -2.05%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -13.55%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.43%E -2.05%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 23:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.96%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.00%E -2.41%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.58%E -2.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.96%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.58%E -2.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.96%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.58%E -2.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.96%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.58%E -2.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.96%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.58%E -2.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.96%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.58%E -2.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.96%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.58%E -2.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.58%E -2.78%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-19 03:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.21%E +0.505%K +0.866%G +0.010% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.32%E -3.90%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.21%E +0.505%K +0.866%G +0.010% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.32%E -3.90%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.32%E -3.90%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.32%E -3.90%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.32%E -3.90%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.32%E -3.90%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.32%E -3.90%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-19 03:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.32%E -3.90%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-19 03:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.90%E -4.28%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.90%E -4.28%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.90%E -4.28%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.90%E -4.28%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.90%E -4.28%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.897%E -0.382%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.21%E -5.87%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 03:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.21%E -5.87%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.79%E -6.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-19 03:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.37%E -6.69%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 03:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.54%EV -12.28%E -5.91%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.46%EV -10.94%E -7.11%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-19 03:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.