The School of Odds

Orix Buffaloes v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

2026-07-19 04:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%46.06%46.01%48.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.042.052.1052%49%49%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.73%53.94%53.99%54.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8160%57%57%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 14:25
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 13:15
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 14:20
William Hill2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 14:05
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 13:15
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 13:20
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:39
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:40
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:44
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 18:44
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 14:10
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.89%E -1.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 14:10
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 13:24
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 13:25
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 14:10
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 13:14
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 13:15
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 13:23
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 14:16
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 14:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 19:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 16:45
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 13:19
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 13:14
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 18:09
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.29%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%EV -9.28%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 13:14
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%EV -10.20%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 16:14
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.20%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.36%E -5.57%K -13.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 16:05
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -10.66%E -5.50%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -2.35%E -1.30%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.