默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

开赛时间： 2026-08-15 05:02 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

37%

63%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes (主队)

预测 37.35%2.68公平赔率

EV +5.71%

优势 +2.02%

Kelly +3.12%

增长率 +0.178%

假设最高赔率为 2.83

博彩公司预测分布

34.19%37.30%37.34%38.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.332.522.502.8342.92%39.64%40.00%35.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)

预测 62.65%1.60公平赔率

EV -3.52%

优势 -2.29%

Kelly -6.52%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布

61.07%62.70%62.66%65.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.431.501.501.5469.93%66.48%66.67%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Orix Buffaloes (主队)：37.35%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)：62.65%。对于“Orix Buffaloes (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.68。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.83，对应+5.71%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +5.71%E +2.02%K +3.12%G +0.178%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -7.91%E -5.38%K -16.82%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-15 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +5.71%E +2.02%K +3.12%G +0.178%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -7.91%E -5.38%K -16.82%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-15 04:49
Pinnacle🎯	2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV +0.476%E +0.177%K +0.282%G +0.001%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-15 04:49
BetUS🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -1.39%E -0.527%K -0.849%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-15 04:39
Fanatics🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-15 04:39
1xBet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-15 04:39
Betsson🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 04:44
NordicBet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 04:39
DraftKings🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 04:49
FanDuel🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 04:44
Bovada🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 04:32
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-15 04:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-15 04:39
Coolbet🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.87%E -2.33%K -3.86%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-15 04:54
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 04:38
888sport🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 04:44
888sport (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 04:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 04:44
ReBet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-15 04:39
Fliff🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-15 04:49
theScore Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 04:39
Betway🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 04:39
BetMGM🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.49%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-15 04:34
Unibet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 04:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 04:50
BetRivers🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 04:49
Bally Bet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.24%E -3.80%K -6.46%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-15 04:48
Caesars🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-15 04:44
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-15 04:54
Coral🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-15 04:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.16%E -6.32%K -20.36%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-08-15 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 38.03%EV -12.97%E -5.57%K -9.75%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -10.41%E -7.28%K -24.22%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-08-15 04:39

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。