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Orix Buffaloes v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 45.64%2.19fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.44%45.67%45.74%47.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.052.1451.28%48.47%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 54.36%1.84fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.66%54.33%54.26%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.731.741.7959.52%57.84%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 45.64%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 54.36%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -2.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.32%E -1.09%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 03:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 03:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.78%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 03:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.24%E -1.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 03:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 03:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 03:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 03:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 03:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 03:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.61%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 03:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 03:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 09:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 03:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 03:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 03:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 03:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 03:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 03:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 03:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.14%E -4.81%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 03:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 03:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%EV -9.17%E -4.61%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 03:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.63%E -4.86%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 03:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.00%E -5.64%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 03:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.