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Orix Buffaloes v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 49.86%2.01fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%49.95%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.891.901.9557.14%53.04%52.49%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 50.14%1.99fair odd
EV +0.771%
Edge +0.384%
Kelly +0.764%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%50.05%50.00%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.872.0157.80%53.70%53.48%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 49.86%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 50.14%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.771%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV +0.771%E +0.384%K +0.764%G +0.006% | 2.9% | 2026-09-26 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.270%E +0.135%K +0.270%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 04:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.24%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 04:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 04:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 04:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 03:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 03:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 04:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.74%E -2.50%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 04:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.76%E -3.05%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.75%E -3.06%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 04:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 04:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 04:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 04:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 04:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 04:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 04:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.34%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 04:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-25 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 23:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 23:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-25 12:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-25 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 04:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 04:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.76%E -5.42%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -11.24%E -6.31%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.28%EV -11.76%E -6.68%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-26 04:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.71%EV -12.74%E -7.28%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -13.27%E -7.67%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-26 04:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.