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Orix Buffaloes v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 53.98%1.85fair odd
EV -0.132%
Edge -0.072%
Kelly -0.156%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%53.91%53.96%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.751.751.8560.61%57.13%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 46.02%2.17fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.09%46.04%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.042.052.1152.91%49.07%48.78%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 53.98%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 46.02%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.852. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.850, with an expected value of -0.132%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.132%E -0.072%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -13.03%E -6.89%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-20 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -4.28%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.04%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.27%E -5.26%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.91%E -2.20%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.28%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 05:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 08:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.28%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.99%E -2.84%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.12%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 08:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.27%E -5.26%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 07:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 08:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -7.15%E -4.16%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -3.82%E -1.83%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 08:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.69%E -4.50%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.96%E -3.98%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.23%E -4.84%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 07:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.77%E -5.19%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.36%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 07:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.85%E -5.90%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.66%E -2.76%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 07:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.52%EV -10.93%E -6.62%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -12.57%E -6.61%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-20 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.