The School of Odds

Orix Buffaloes v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

2026-07-08 09:00 — NPB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Option 1: Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Odds
2.0548.78%Min
2.1945.69%Mean
2.2045.45%Median
2.2644.25%Max
Consensus probabilities
41.71%2.398Min
44.50%2.247Max
43.03%2.324Mean
42.97%2.327Median
43.06%2.322IQM
43.03%2.324Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.26 under the IQM model: 43.06%

EV -2.69%Edge -1.19%Kelly -2.14%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Odds
1.6062.50%Min
1.6560.42%Mean
1.6560.61%Median
1.7258.14%Max
Consensus probabilities
55.50%1.802Min
58.29%1.716Max
56.97%1.755Mean
57.03%1.753Median
56.94%1.756IQM
56.97%1.755Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.72 under the IQM model: 56.94%

EV -2.06%Edge -1.20%Kelly -2.86%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

BookmakerOrix Buffaloes (Local) ▼Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)MarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25% NM 42.93%EV -2.69% E -1.19% K -2.14% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 57.07%EV -3.20% E -1.88% K -4.57% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 21:40
Fanatics2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -3.12% E -1.39% K -2.50% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -3.77% E -2.23% K -5.46% G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 17:04
BetMGM2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -3.12% E -1.39% K -2.50% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -8.32% E -5.17% K -13.64% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 00:15
Coolbet2.23I 44.84% NM 42.67%EV -3.98% E -1.79% K -3.24% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.33%EV -5.47% E -3.30% K -8.30% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 00:40
Unibet2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -3.98% E -1.79% K -3.24% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -6.04% E -3.66% K -9.30% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -3.98% E -1.79% K -3.24% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -6.04% E -3.66% K -9.30% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 18:19
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -3.98% E -1.79% K -3.24% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -6.04% E -3.66% K -9.30% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 18:19
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -3.98% E -1.79% K -3.24% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -6.04% E -3.66% K -9.30% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 18:24
BetRivers2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -3.98% E -1.79% K -3.24% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -6.04% E -3.66% K -9.30% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 18:25
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -3.98% E -1.79% K -3.24% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -6.04% E -3.66% K -9.30% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 18:24
FanDuel2.22I 45.05% NM 42.93%EV -4.41% E -1.99% K -3.62% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.07%EV -4.91% E -2.94% K -7.32% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 17:00
1xBet2.20I 45.45% NM 43.88%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 56.12%EV -2.06% E -1.20% K -2.86% G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 14:09
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -2.63% E -1.54% K -3.70% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -2.63% E -1.54% K -3.70% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 13:59
Betsson2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.34% E -2.58% K -6.38% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 17:25
NordicBet2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.34% E -2.58% K -6.38% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 17:25
Caesars2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.91% E -2.94% K -7.32% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 17:08
DraftKings2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.91% E -2.94% K -7.32% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:04
Bovada2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -6.04% E -3.66% K -9.30% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 17:02
888sport2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -8.32% E -5.17% K -13.64% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 00:35
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -8.32% E -5.17% K -13.64% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 00:34
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -8.32% E -5.17% K -13.64% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 00:34
Coral2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -5.27% E -2.40% K -4.40% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -8.89% E -5.56% K -14.82% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 00:05
William Hill2.19I 45.66% NM 43.85%EV -5.70% E -2.60% K -4.79% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.15%EV -2.63% E -1.54% K -3.70% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:14
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87% NM 43.23%EV -6.14% E -2.81% K -5.20% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 56.77%EV -5.47% E -3.30% K -8.30% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 17:05
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -7.43% E -3.45% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -4.91% E -2.94% K -7.32% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:54
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -7.43% E -3.45% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -4.91% E -2.94% K -7.32% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:54
Betway2.15I 46.51% NM 42.97%EV -7.43% E -3.45% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 57.03%EV -7.75% E -4.79% K -12.50% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 18:14
Everygame2.15I 46.51% NM 42.97%EV -7.43% E -3.45% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 57.03%EV -7.75% E -4.79% K -12.50% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 20:59
BetUS2.12I 47.17% NM 44.50%EV -8.72% E -4.11% K -7.78% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.50%EV -3.20% E -1.88% K -4.57% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 00:34
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62% NM 44.00%EV -9.58% E -4.56% K -8.71% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.00%EV -6.04% E -3.66% K -9.30% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 14:29
ReBet2.10I 47.62% NM 43.40%EV -9.58% E -4.56% K -8.71% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 56.60%EV -8.32% E -5.17% K -13.64% G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-07 21:04
Betclic (FR)2.09I 47.85% NM 43.51%EV -10.01% E -4.79% K -9.18% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 56.49%EV -8.32% E -5.17% K -13.64% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 17:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78% NM 43.84%EV -11.73% E -5.72% K -11.17% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 56.16%EV -8.89% E -5.56% K -14.82% G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-07 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth