The School of Odds

Orix Buffaloes v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 39.53%2.53fair odd
EV -0.778%
Edge -0.310%
Kelly -0.516%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.54%39.49%42.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.5145.45%42.12%42.02%39.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 60.47%1.65fair odd
EV +0.379%
Edge +0.229%
Kelly +0.575%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.87%60.46%60.51%62.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.571.6667.57%64.02%63.69%60.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -9.87%E -4.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV +0.379%E +0.229%K +0.575%G +0.002%4.1%2026-07-08 08:25
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -5.52%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -2.04%E -1.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-08 08:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.25%E -2.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 08:55
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.57%E -0.630%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.85%E -2.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 08:35
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.57%E -0.630%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.85%E -2.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 08:35
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.15%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.85%E -2.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 08:40
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.85%E -2.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 08:50
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.778%E -0.310%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-08 08:45
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 08:54
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 08:50
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 08:50
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.46%E -2.82%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 08:35
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 08:35
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 08:35
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 08:35
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 08:35
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 08:35
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.06%E -4.91%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 08:45
FanDuel2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.67%E -3.63%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 08:50
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.67%E -3.63%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 08:50
MyBookie.ag2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.52%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.67%E -3.63%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 08:55
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.67%E -3.63%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.27%E -4.05%K -11.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 08:35
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 08:33
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.88%E -4.47%K -12.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 08:50
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.17%E -0.469%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 08:49
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 08:55
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 08:55
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.92%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 08:49
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 08:49
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.10%E -3.02%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 08:40
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.08%E -3.95%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.69%E -5.76%K -17.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-08 08:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.13%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.30%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 08:55
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.22%EV -13.03%E -5.92%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.78%EV -10.51%E -7.10%K -21.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-08 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.