默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-08-29 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

36%

64%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes (主队)

预测 35.58%2.81公平赔率

EV -0.014%

优势 -0.005%

Kelly -0.008%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.81

博彩公司预测分布

34.50%35.80%35.56%38.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.402.622.602.8141.67%38.20%38.46%35.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 64.42%1.55公平赔率

EV -1.44%

优势 -0.942%

Kelly -2.72%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布

61.07%64.20%64.44%65.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.391.471.471.5371.94%68.13%68.03%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Orix Buffaloes (主队)：35.58%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：64.42%。对于“Orix Buffaloes (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.8104。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.8100，期望值为-0.014%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -0.014%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-29 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.50%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-29 05:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.50%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-29 05:00
BetUS🎯	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.22%E -1.18%K -1.87%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-29 08:40
FanDuel🎯	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.22%E -1.18%K -1.87%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.31%E -3.61%K -11.29%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-29 08:55
NordicBet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.45%K -2.31%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-29 08:25
Betsson🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.93%E -1.45%K -2.31%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-29 08:25
DraftKings🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.93%E -1.45%K -2.31%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.31%E -3.61%K -11.29%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-29 08:55
Bovada🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.93%E -1.45%K -2.31%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.24%E -5.03%K -16.45%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-29 08:20
1xBet🎯	2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-29 08:25
Coolbet🎯	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.00%E -1.87%K -2.99%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-29 08:55
BetMGM🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-29 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.53%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-29 05:15
888sport🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.77%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.24%E -5.03%K -16.45%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-29 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.77%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.24%E -5.03%K -16.45%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-29 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.77%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.24%E -5.03%K -16.45%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-29 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.66%E -3.15%K -9.71%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-29 05:19
theScore Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.31%E -3.61%K -11.29%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-29 05:10
ReBet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.31%E -3.61%K -11.29%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-29 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.55%K -14.65%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-29 08:55
BoyleSports🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.24%E -5.03%K -16.45%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-29 05:10
Betway🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.24%E -5.03%K -16.45%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-29 08:55
Coral🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.24%E -5.03%K -16.45%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-29 01:15
BetRivers🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 16:50
Unibet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 16:50
Bally Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-28 16:55
Fanatics🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.24%E -5.03%K -16.45%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-29 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -12.82%E -5.23%K -8.84%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -8.53%E -6.00%K -20.30%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-08-29 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 36.39%EV -13.54%E -5.57%K -9.47%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 63.61%EV -10.46%E -7.52%K -26.82%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-08-29 08:53
Caesars🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -14.60%E -6.08%K -10.43%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.44%E -0.942%K -2.72%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-28 14:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。