Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.92
assuming max odds 1.48
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 34.19%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 65.81%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.92, with an expected value of -0.172%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -0.172%E -0.059%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -4.57%E -3.15%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-25 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.54%E -0.534%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.23%E -3.63%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.56%E -0.900%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.89%E -4.12%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.56%E -0.900%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.86%E -5.62%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 08:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -2.56%E -0.900%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.84%E -7.18%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-25 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.91%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.89%E -4.12%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.26%E -2.22%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-25 08:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.55%E -4.61%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 08:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.60%E -1.76%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-25 05:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.60%E -1.76%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-25 05:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.57%E -3.15%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 08:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.57%E -3.15%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.61%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-25 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.61%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-25 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.61%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-25 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.61%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-25 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.61%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-25 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.61%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-25 08:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.27%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.86%E -5.62%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.96%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.57%E -3.15%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 08:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.20%E -5.11%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-25 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.86%E -5.62%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-25 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.86%E -5.62%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.98%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.86%E -5.62%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-25 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.69%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.89%E -4.12%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-25 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.43%E -3.98%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.23%E -3.63%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.43%E -3.98%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.23%E -3.63%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.11%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.60%E -1.76%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 14:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.11%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.60%E -1.76%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 05:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.82%E -5.03%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.23%E -3.63%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.82%E -5.03%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -10.50%E -7.72%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-25 08:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.53%E -5.81%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.23%E -3.63%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-25 05:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.36%EV -16.24%E -6.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.64%EV -11.81%E -8.81%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-25 08:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.