Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-17 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 40.71%2.46fair odd
EV +0.562%
Edge +0.228%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%40.82%40.57%43.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.302.302.4749.26%43.55%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 59.29%1.69fair odd
EV -0.992%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.39%59.18%59.43%61.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.591.601.6767.11%62.78%62.70%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 40.71%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 59.29%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.562%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV +0.562%E +0.228%K +0.383%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-17 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV +0.562%E +0.228%K +0.383%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -5.14%E -3.21%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-17 08:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -0.252%E -0.103%K -0.174%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.70%E -5.65%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 06:21
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.29%E -0.953%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-17 08:21
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.36%E -2.06%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-17 08:55
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.10%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.73%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 08:25
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -3.51%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -9.29%E -6.07%K -17.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 06:24
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-17 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.88%E -6.50%K -19.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 08:25
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.14%E -2.20%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.55%E -2.83%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 05:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.54%E -2.39%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.73%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:25
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 06:51
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.73%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 07:10
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.73%E -3.61%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 08:35
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.92%E -4.41%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 08:25
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.92%E -4.41%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 08:25
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.36%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.92%E -4.41%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 08:20
BetUS🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.58%E -3.34%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.77%E -1.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 21:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 21:45
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 21:45
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 21:50
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.96%E -2.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 21:50
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.92%E -4.41%K -12.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.92%E -4.41%K -12.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 04:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.92%E -4.41%K -12.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 04:05
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.92%E -4.41%K -12.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 07:10
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.992%E -0.594%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 14:37
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -14.50%E -6.91%K -13.18%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.50%EV -11.66%E -7.83%K -23.80%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-17 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -17.35%E -8.55%K -16.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -6.92%E -4.41%K -12.14%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-17 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.