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Orix Buffaloes v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 53.03%1.89fair odd
EV -0.839%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -0.965%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.75%53.25%54.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.791.801.8759.17%55.92%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 46.97%2.13fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.88%47.25%46.75%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.1053.48%50.30%50.13%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 53.03%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 46.97%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -0.839%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.839%E -0.449%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.16%E -6.50%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 14:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -1.90%E -1.03%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -6.52%E -3.28%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.90%E -1.03%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.93%E -4.05%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 04:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.87%E -4.57%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.87%E -4.57%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.87%E -4.57%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.87%E -4.57%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.87%E -4.57%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -1.36%E -0.646%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.87%E -4.57%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 04:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.28%E -5.38%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.28%E -5.38%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.28%E -5.38%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.36%E -0.646%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.24%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 04:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.05%E -3.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.05%E -3.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.67%E -3.79%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -4.64%E -2.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.20%E -4.12%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 04:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.20%E -4.12%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 04:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.05%E -3.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.05%E -3.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.26%E -4.78%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.05%E -3.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 04:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.32%E -5.45%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.05%E -3.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 04:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -10.38%E -6.14%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -9.34%E -4.84%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.