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Orix Buffaloes v Chunichi Dragons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 61.53%1.63fair odd
EV +1.53%
Edge +0.925%
Kelly +2.35%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%61.31%61.45%63.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.541.541.6568.49%64.89%64.94%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chunichi Dragons (Visit)
Prediction 38.47%2.60fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.733%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.60%38.69%38.55%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.442.442.6546.51%41.03%41.07%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 61.53%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 38.47%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +1.53%E +0.925%K +2.35%G +0.036% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -15.37%E -6.99%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 23:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -0.935%E -0.581%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -17.29%E -8.04%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 23:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.78%E -1.76%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 08:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.78%E -1.76%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.44%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.40%E -2.16%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.60%E -1.85%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 08:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.40%E -2.16%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.91%E -2.85%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.40%E -2.16%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.90%E -0.747%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 08:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.01%E -2.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.60%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 08:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.29%E -0.901%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 08:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.63%E -2.99%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +1.94%E +0.733%K +1.18%G +0.023% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -0.365%E -0.141%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 08:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.90%E -0.747%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 08:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-29 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.86%E -3.83%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.44%E -3.55%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.47%E -4.26%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.29%E -0.901%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.47%E -4.26%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.83%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.70%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.83%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.70%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.83%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.70%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.70%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.70%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 08:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.70%E -5.14%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 08:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.32%E -5.58%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.90%E -0.747%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 08:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -10.16%E -6.96%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -9.60%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-29 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.