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Orix Buffaloes v Chiba Lotte Marines

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 04:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 53.55%1.87fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.52%53.60%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.771.8359.52%56.64%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 46.45%2.15fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.48%46.40%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.1253.19%49.69%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 53.55%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 46.45%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -1.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.00%E -1.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.97%E -4.57%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.00%E -1.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.00%E -1.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.00%E -1.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:05
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.00%E -1.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:05
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.00%E -1.09%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:04
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 03:49
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.32%E -2.10%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 03:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.60%E -2.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 03:15
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.67%E -2.63%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 03:45
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.67%E -2.63%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 03:50
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.67%E -2.63%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.25%E -2.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 03:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.67%E -2.63%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.64%E -3.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.46%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 03:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.46%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 03:34
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 03:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 03:14
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 03:15
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 03:29
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.21%E -2.94%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 03:30
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.75%E -3.26%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 03:09
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.28%E -3.59%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.53%E -0.724%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 03:29
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.28%E -3.59%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 03:19
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 01:24
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 03:55
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 03:54
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.82%E -3.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 03:29
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.35%E -4.25%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 03:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.89%E -4.59%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 03:29
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.42%E -4.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.46%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:08
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -8.96%E -5.27%K -12.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 03:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.81%EV -10.03%E -5.97%K -14.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -12.68%E -6.75%K -14.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 03:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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