The School of Odds

Orix Buffaloes v Chiba Lotte Marines

2026-07-26 04:00 UTC — NPB

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Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 59.74%1.67fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -3.55%
Kelly -9.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.59%59.74%59.74%59.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.571.571.571.5864%64%64%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 40.26%2.48fair odd
EV -6.20%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -4.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%40.26%40.26%40.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.332.332.332.3343%43%43%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.20%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 01:44
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.20%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 01:45
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.20%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.20%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 01:45
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.20%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 01:45
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.20%E -2.66%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 01:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.