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Orix Buffaloes v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 56.75%1.76fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.59%56.94%59.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.661.631.7462.89%60.22%61.35%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 43.25%2.31fair odd
EV +2.93%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.35%43.41%43.06%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.3848.78%45.97%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 56.75%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 43.25%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +2.93%E +1.23%K +2.12%G +0.062% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.22%E -3.13%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.535%E -0.232%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-05 04:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.36%E -3.85%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.26%E -1.00%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.25%E -0.717%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-05 04:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.22%E -3.13%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.49%E -4.60%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.49%E -4.60%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.49%E -4.60%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.49%E -4.60%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.49%E -4.60%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.49%E -4.60%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.19%E -5.75%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.86%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -7.49%E -4.60%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -1.82%E -1.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.72%E -2.63%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 04:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.25%E -0.717%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.59%E -3.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 04:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.25%E -0.717%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -6.59%E -3.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-05 04:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.95%E -1.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.02%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.52%E -2.07%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.02%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.52%E -2.07%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.02%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.06%E -4.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.02%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.95%E -1.73%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.18%E -4.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 04:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.09%E -2.42%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.18%E -4.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 04:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.36%E -3.85%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.18%E -4.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 04:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -9.76%E -6.14%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -9.18%E -4.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-05 04:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.25%E -0.717%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.35%E -5.53%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 04:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.25%E -0.717%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.35%E -5.53%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 04:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.52%E -2.07%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.35%E -5.53%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 04:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.