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Orix Buffaloes v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 59.29%1.69fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.95%59.38%59.30%61.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.591.581.6567.11%63.05%63.49%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 40.71%2.46fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.547%
Kelly +0.914%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.30%40.62%40.70%42.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.302.4944.44%43.03%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 59.29%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 40.71%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.73%E -3.60%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +1.36%E +0.547%K +0.914%G +0.012% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.73%E -3.60%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +1.36%E +0.547%K +0.914%G +0.012% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +0.955%E +0.385%K +0.645%G +0.006% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 23:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.95%E -2.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.30%E -0.959%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -11.65%E -7.82%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.30%E -0.959%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 07:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.73%E -3.60%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.12%E -1.31%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.52%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 08:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.95%E -2.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -5.15%E -2.21%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 08:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.15%E -2.21%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.50%E -4.81%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.15%E -2.21%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.50%E -4.81%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.15%E -2.21%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.50%E -4.81%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -5.15%E -2.21%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.95%E -2.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.95%E -2.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.95%E -2.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.54%E -2.82%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 08:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.73%E -3.60%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 15:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.73%E -3.60%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 08:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.73%E -3.60%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.10%E -5.22%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.37%E -2.77%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -6.32%E -4.00%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -6.78%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -8.00%E -3.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 08:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 08:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.91%E -4.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.41%E -3.74%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.