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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Orix Buffaloes v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间： 2026-05-04 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orix Buffaloes (主队)

预测 54.47%1.84公平赔率
EV -1.41%
优势 -0.780%
Kelly -1.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.81

博彩公司预测分布
53.33%54.58%54.55%56.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.731.741.8159.88%57.88%57.47%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 45.53%2.20公平赔率
EV +0.170%
优势 +0.077%
Kelly +0.142%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
43.15%45.42%45.45%46.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.072.052.2050.76%48.37%48.78%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Orix Buffaloes (主队)：54.47%；Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)：45.53%。 对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.196。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.200，对应+0.170%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.04%E -5.41%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.170%E +0.077%K +0.142%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 08:50
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.04%E -5.41%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.170%E +0.077%K +0.142%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 08:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.02%E -1.42%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.02%E -1.42%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 08:48
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.59%E -2.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 08:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.77%E -3.34%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.59%E -2.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 08:45
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 08:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 08:49
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.95%E -4.70%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 08:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.04%E -5.41%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.04%E -5.41%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.04%E -5.41%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.41%E -0.780%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.84%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.59%E -2.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 08:45
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.23%E -3.00%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.23%E -3.00%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.23%E -3.00%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 08:50
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.23%E -3.00%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 08:53
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.77%E -3.34%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 08:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 08:45
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.95%E -4.70%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 08:50
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.04%E -5.41%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -5.77%E -3.34%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -7.57%E -3.73%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 08:45
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 08:45
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.86%E -4.01%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 08:50
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83%EV -7.95%E -4.70%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%EV -10.30%E -5.23%K -10.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 08:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。