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Orix Buffaloes v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 56.69%1.76fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.72%56.70%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.671.7163.29%60.24%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 43.31%2.31fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.976%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.28%43.30%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.012.182.202.2849.75%45.87%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 56.69%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 43.31%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.06%E -1.79%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.63%E -2.14%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.25%E -0.548%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 03:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.20%E -2.48%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 03:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.76%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.68%E -0.741%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 03:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.76%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.68%E -0.741%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 03:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.76%E -2.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -6.45%E -2.98%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 03:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.33%E -3.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.46%E -3.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 01:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.03%E -4.29%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.41%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.88%E -3.20%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 01:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.21%E -5.47%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 03:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.30%E -5.81%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.71%E -2.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 03:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 44.01%EV -12.94%E -6.44%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 03:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.